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Moon rising over Glastonbury Tor

New Study Finds That Major Earthquakes Are Likely Caused by Lunar Forces

No the Moon and planetary bodies are not able to influence human behaviour, so shut up astrologists and full-moon fever theorists. They can only exert tiny forces, and thus can only be blamed for causing little things such as major earthquakes

An almost-full, half-pie, waxing moon hanging lopsided in the night sky has long been a symbol of things to come. Now scientists have a new symbolism for the lunar phase we call first quarter: a looming risk of earthquakes.

…Studying data from the past two decades, Satoshi Ide and colleagues from the University of Tokyo measured the timing of high tides and reconstructed the amplitude of the moon’s pull at those times, focusing on the two weeks prior to large earthquakes. They measured the amplitude of the tides against the timing of those quakes, and found some of the largest and most devastating earthquakes in recent memory happened when the Earth’s crust was under the highest tidal stress.

…The mechanisms underlying this connection are not clear, however. The moon’s pull causes tidal disruptions that are orders of magnitude lower than those experienced in an earthquake. And not every change in tide comes with an attendant earthquake. Part of the problem is that scientists still don’t know exactly what causes a major earthquake. But one theory holds that they begin as smaller fractures that build up via a cascading process.

Link: More Evidence that the Moon Contributes to Earthquakes

Editor
  1. corellation
    Ok, what these boys and girls (there is no gender based discrimination in Asia) have found is a correlation, not causation.

    You see, how this really works is like this:

    during certain phases of the moon, the water that the tides press down into the ocean floor lubricates the tectonic plates differently. Statistically speaking, this can add up. It is actually the high tides at new moon (on the same side as the sun) that causes this. The moon causes tides, but not quakes.

    The reason I know this to be true is that I made it up. Some of it seems reasonable, so it must be true, no?

    Actually I really do think that water below the ocean floor has many effects, and a lot of those we don’t know. Get me some funding for the research. I’m not an oceanographer or geologist, but I could administer the money. More lucrative and less work anyway.

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